20 January 2024

New collegiate sports record


One of my cousins in Florida offered the opinion that the young man is clearly enjoying the academic life in Miami.  There are, obviously, mitigating circumstances (injuries, Covid) for these increasingly-common extended tenures, but the headline immediately called to my mind John Belushi's lament in Animal House: "Seven years of college down the drain."

17 January 2024

Word for the day: fermata



Today I was reading an essay by Rachel Kushner about the personal management of time, which included this passage:
Nabokov’s character Van Veen, from Ada, suggests that he is “an epicure of duration,” who “delight[s] sensually in Time.” Veen’s “greatest discovery,” Nabokov later said, was “his perception of Time as the dim hollow between two rhythmic beats . . . not the beats themselves, which only embar Time.” What Nabokov describes in his typically florid style, without naming it, is the fermata. A simple but profound music notation, a fermata on a note or rest stops time between beats, freeing the musician (or conductor) to decide when it ends. On my own fourteen-mile fermata, from the town of Las Terrenas to Salto El Limón, I passed on foot through clusters of modest little houses with tin roofs. I saw people, a woman in hair curlers cooking on charcoal briquettes, and people saw me, the men in faded military uniforms who stopped to offer me a ride in their jeep. I refused their offer, and was abandoned back into my solitary pursuit.
What a wonderful new word.  
Fermata is the Italian name for the sign (𝄐), which in English is commonly called a Pause, and signifies that the note over which it is placed should be held on beyond its natural duration. It is sometimes put over a bar or double bar, in which case it intimates a short interval of silence. [examples in the image embedded above].
The Wikipedia entry has some clickable audio examples of incorporating fermatas into music, but no discussion of usage of the word beyond the realm of music.  The word is not in my compact OED, and the only non-musical use I could find was in Wiktionary, where (as an Italian word) is designates "a stop" (where passengers get on and off).

But I like Rachel Kushner's usage.  I think I need to spend more time "pausing" rather than constantly going from point A to point B to get things done.  If anyone wonders why I'm staring off into the distance to ponder a scene or the meaning of life, it will be because I'm in a personal fermata.

16 January 2024

University of Minnesota Dance Team jazz routine


Props to these youngsters for the immense amount of time and effort expended in perfecting this routine, recorded at the Universal Dance Association College Nationals in Florida this past weekend.
The team competed in two dance categories, winning its 22nd national championship for its pom performance, a style that involves holding pompoms. But it was the jazz routine choreographed to Aerosmith's "Dream On" that went viral over the weekend. Videos ricocheted around YouTube and TikTok.

A sequence in the choreography took the dancers through a long series of one-legged spins, ending with all 20 dancers flipping an aerial turn in unison.

"That's a hard skill to get on, with 20 people on the floor," Tumbleson said. The dancers and coaches initially planned that only a few dancers would execute the aerial, but the team decided to choreograph the routine with all the dancers making the flying turns.

For a long time, Tumbleson said, dance did not get the same recognition as other sports. Social media is changing that, especially through moments of virality like the team just experienced. 

The flying turns are executed between the 1:30 and 1:40 timepoints in the embedded video.  Embedded above is the jazz routine. The championship pom routine is here.

Origin of the "butterfly effect" theorem


I learned this today while reading about chaos theory and its manifestations in our modern world:
Edward Lorenz was a weatherman during World War II, tasked with forecasting cloud cover before American bombing raids in the Pacific. But meteorology in those days was largely guesswork and produced only crude predictions. After the war ended, Lorenz decided to try to unlock the secrets of the weather using more sophisticated methods and harnessing the nascent power of computing. He created a simplified, miniature world on his LGP-30 computer: Instead of the millions of different variables that affect weather systems in the real world, his model had just 12 variables.

One day, Lorenz decided to rerun a simulation he’d done earlier. To save time, he decided to start midway through, plugging in the data points from the prior snapshot. He figured that so long as he set the variables at the same levels, the weather patterns would be repeated just as they were before: same conditions, same outcomes.

But something strange happened instead. The weather in his rerun simulation was different in every way. After a lot of scowling over the data, Lorenz realized what had happened. His computer printouts had rounded data to three decimal places. If, for example, the exact wind speed was 3.506127 miles an hour, the printout displayed it as 3.506 miles an hour. When he plugged the slightly truncated values from the printouts back into the simulation, he was always off by a tiny amount (in this case, just 0.000127 miles an hour). These seemingly meaningless alterations—these tiny rounding errors—were producing major changes.

That observation led Lorenz to a breakthrough discovery. Minuscule changes could make enormous differences: Raising the temperature one-millionth of a degree could morph the weather two months later from clear blue skies into a torrential downpour, even a hurricane. Lorenz’s findings were the origin of the “butterfly effect” concept—the notion that a butterfly flapping its wings in Brazil could trigger a tornado in Texas—and, ultimately, of chaos theory. They also explain why meteorologists are still unable to forecast the weather beyond a short time frame with much accuracy; if any calculation is off by a tiny amount, the longer-term forecast will be useless.
The article goes on to explain why "humans are the puppets of small, seemingly arbitrary or accidental events" (the bombing of Hiroshima instead of Kyoto, for example).

Embedded image from the Wikipedia entry on this topic. 
"One meteorologist remarked that if the theory were correct, one flap of a sea gull's wings would be enough to alter the course of the weather forever. The controversy has not yet been settled, but the most recent evidence seems to favor the sea gulls."
Related (and the source article that set off my inquiry this morning):
"I know it seems counter-intuitive but one of the most glaring signs of our warming climate is that of our coldest temperatures."

15 January 2024

14 January 2024

"Beach grass" from a garden in Vienna


This image by Gerhard Vlcek won first place in the micro category in the CUPOTY (Close-up Photographer of the Year) competition.  You can spend all morning exploring that link, because there are subsections for animals, insects, plants, fungi, landscape(!), underwater, human-made, etc., and for each there is a gallery of the shortlisted finalists.  I plan to feature some images from the butterflies and dragonflies category in the future.

In the United States, politics fills a "moral vacuum"

In a thought-provoking article in The Atlantic, David Brooks postulates that in this country politics has expanded to fill a "moral vacuum."  Herewith some extened excerpts:
Why have Americans become so mean? I was recently talking with a restaurant owner who said that he has to eject a customer from his restaurant for rude or cruel behavior once a week—something that never used to happen. A head nurse at a hospital told me that many on her staff are leaving the profession because patients have become so abusive...

The most important story about why Americans have become sad and alienated and rude, I believe, is also the simplest: We inhabit a society in which people are no longer trained in how to treat others with kindness and consideration. Our society has become one in which people feel licensed to give their selfishness free rein. The story I’m going to tell is about morals. In a healthy society, a web of institutions—families, schools, religious groups, community organizations, and workplaces—helps form people into kind and responsible citizens, the sort of people who show up for one another. We live in a society that’s terrible at moral formation.

For a large part of its history, America was awash in morally formative institutions. Its Founding Fathers had a low view of human nature, and designed the Constitution to mitigate it (even while validating that low view of human nature by producing a document rife with racism and sexism). “Men I find to be a Sort of Beings very badly constructed,” Benjamin Franklin wrote, “as they are generally more easily provok’d than reconcil’d, more dispos’d to do Mischief to each other than to make Reparation, and much more easily deceiv’d than undeceiv’d.”

If such flawed, self-centered creatures were going to govern themselves and be decent neighbors to one another, they were going to need some training. For roughly 150 years after the founding, Americans were obsessed with moral education...

These various approaches to moral formation shared two premises. The first was that training the heart and body is more important than training the reasoning brain. Some moral skills can be taught the way academic subjects are imparted, through books and lectures... The other guiding premise was that concepts like justice and right and wrong are not matters of personal taste...

And then it mostly went away...

If you put people in a moral vacuum, they will seek to fill it with the closest thing at hand. Over the past several years, people have sought to fill the moral vacuum with politics and tribalism. American society has become hyper-politicized.

According to research by Ryan Streeter, the director of domestic-policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute, lonely young people are seven times more likely to say they are active in politics than young people who aren’t lonely. For people who feel disrespected, unseen, and alone, politics is a seductive form of social therapy. It offers them a comprehensible moral landscape: The line between good and evil runs not down the middle of every human heart, but between groups. Life is a struggle between us, the forces of good, and them, the forces of evil.

The Manichaean tribalism of politics appears to give people a sense of belonging. For many years, America seemed to be awash in a culture of hyper-individualism. But these days, people are quick to identify themselves by their group: Republican, Democrat, evangelical, person of color, LGBTQ, southerner, patriot, progressive, conservative. People who feel isolated and under threat flee to totalizing identities.

Politics appears to give people a sense of righteousness: A person’s moral stature is based not on their conduct, but on their location on the political spectrum. You don’t have to be good; you just have to be liberal—or you just have to be conservative. The stronger a group’s claim to victim status, the more virtuous it is assumed to be, and the more secure its members can feel about their own innocence.

Politics also provides an easy way to feel a sense of purpose. You don’t have to feed the hungry or sit with the widow to be moral; you just have to experience the right emotion. You delude yourself that you are participating in civic life by feeling properly enraged at the other side. That righteous fury rising in your gut lets you know that you are engaged in caring about this country. The culture war is a struggle that gives life meaning.

Politics overwhelms everything. Churches, universities, sports, pop culture, health care are swept up in a succession of battles that are really just one big war—red versus blue. Evangelicalism used to be a faith; today it’s primarily a political identity. College humanities departments used to study literature and history to plumb the human heart and mind; now they sometimes seem exclusively preoccupied with politics, and with the oppressive systems built around race, class, and gender. Late-night comedy shows have become political pep rallies. Hundreds of thousands of Americans died unnecessarily during the pandemic because people saw a virus through the lens of a political struggle.
If The Atlantic is behind a paywall for you, the September 2023 issue will be at your library.

A galaxy with no stars (yet)

Artist depiction of hydrogen gas observed in galaxy J0613+52.  The colors indicate the likely rotation of the gas relative to the observer (red=away, blue=toward). This image was made using a starfield from STScI POSS-II with additional illustration by NSF/GBO/P.Vosteen
"While examining a discrepancy between data from the Nançay Radio Telescope and the Green Bank Telescope (GBT), O’Neil discovered an error, “The GBT was accidentally pointed to the wrong coordinates and found this object. It’s a galaxy made only out of gas—it has no visible stars. Stars could be there, we just can’t see them.”

Known as J0613+52, this LSB is unlike others that have been observed before. “What we do know is that it’s an incredibly gas rich galaxy. It’s not demonstrating star formation like we’d expect, probably because its gas is too diffuse.  At the same time, it’s too far from other galaxies for them to help trigger star formation through any encounters. J0613+52 appears to be both undisturbed and underdeveloped. This could be our first discovery of a nearby galaxy made up of primordial gas,” adds O’Neil."
More information at Green Bank Observatory, via Science Alert.

Historic snowstorm underway - updated


I took the photo above three days ago - before the current snowstorm began.  We were receiving about 8" with that storm.  I got the driveway cleared, the deck shoveled, and the roof raked, and got to Target to stock up on food.  The next round has begun.  It will snow all day today.  Here are the expected totals:


Those data come from a rather nice New York Times link that updates not just daily, but every several hours and can be customized to your ZIP code.  It's worth bookmarking for those of you in the path of this unstable weather.

Addendum:  We've been advised that after the snow ends this weekend that the high temperatures will be about zero, with wind chills approaching 30 below zero.  Clearing the driveway and breaking through the wall created by the snowplows at the road is going to be an adventure.

Addendum:  It was more of an adventure than I had anticipated, because halfway though the clearing of the driveway, our snowthrower stopped throwing snow, and I discovered a broken shear pin.  This had happened to me once perhaps ten years ago when the snowthrower encountered an entire Sunday newspaper under heavy snow.  This time the culprit was unknown - perhaps an ice chunk.  Thankfully I was rescued by my neighbor Ben -


- and his crew of able assistants (Soren and Oskar) -


And so this morning instead of finishing the job with a shovel in -11 degree weather (-31 wind chill), I'm able to turn my attention to more interesting things like blogging how owlets can sing while they are still inside the egg.

10 January 2024

Optical illusion best viewed from a distance


Hard to see close-up, but from a distance [or by "zooming out" on your screen] the dark spaces between the rocks spell "The stones will cry out" (a Biblical phrase).  I don't know the original source for this somewhat-viral image.

"Dogs intended for consumption"

Activists from Animals Hope Shelter inspect a truck containing hundreds of dogs intended for consumption after it was seized by police [Semarang, Indonesia].  Photograph: Daffa Ramya Kanzuddin/AFP/Getty Images

One of the "Photos of the Day" at The Guardian.  I haven't tried to track down the story. 

State and local tax systems are regressive


“When you ask people what they think a fair tax code looks like, almost nobody says we should have the richest pay the least. And yet when we look around the country, the vast majority of states have tax systems that do just that. There’s an alarming gap here between what the public wants and what state lawmakers have delivered.”
Nationally, the average state levies an effective state and local tax rate of 11.3 percent for its lowest-income 20 percent of residents; 10.5 percent for the middle 20 percent; and 7.2 percent for the top 1 percent (see Figure 1). This means the top 1 percent are contributing 37 percent less of their incomes toward funding state and local services in their states than the poorest families.
States such as Florida, Tennessee, and Texas are often described as “low tax” due to their lack of personal income taxes. While this characterization holds true for high-income families, these states levy some of the nation’s highest tax rates on the poor. This is indicative of a broader pattern. Nationally, we find evidence that states with lower taxes for their highest-income earners tend to have higher taxes for their lowest-income residents.
The study itself was highly detailed and sophisticated.  One can argue about the implications and justifications for various tax policies, but I think there's not arguing about the data itself. 
“When you ask people what they think a fair tax code looks like, almost nobody says we should have the richest pay the least,” said Carl Davis, research director of the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP), which conducted the analysis.

“And yet when we look around the country, the vast majority of states have tax systems that do just that. There’s an alarming gap here between what the public wants and what state lawmakers have delivered.”

Superb acting in "Seance on a Wet Afternoon"


I recently found this movie on the Turner Classic Movies channel, and was totally blown away by the acting of Kim Stanley and Richard Attenborough.

I'll apologize for the embedded trailer, which was the best of the few that I could locate.  The trailer is from 1964, is overly long with too much plot detail, intrusive music, and some terminal unnecessary hyperbole.

But I can't find any faults with the movie itself.  TLDR: Kim Stanley has Richard Attenborough kidnap a young girl, with the intention that they will reveal clues about the girls disappearance and location in seances, thus promoting the woman's career as a psychic.  But the woman is clearly deranged, and the girl's well-being is endangered.

The buildup of dramatic tension is so intense that I actually took a break during the movie to walk around and "chill" a bit.  Kim Stanley gives one of the best performances I have ever watched; she was a nominee for Best Actress at the 1965 Academy Awards, but lost that honor to (for fox ache) Julie Andrews (Mary Poppins).  Seance on a Wet Afternoon was nominated for four BAFTAs (Stanley, Attenborough [won], screenplay and cinematography).

JustWatch does not list the movie as streaming for free anywhere; you will need to access it via TCM or a library copy, or perhaps on YouTube.

Addendum:  Reader Rick found the full-length movie online in the Internet Archive.  It is clickable to fullscreen.

Female penis and male vaginas in cave insects

"Male genitalia are sometimes used as devices for coercive holding of females as a result of sexual conflict over mating. In contrast, female genitalia are usually simple. Here we report the reversal of intromittent organs in the insect genus Neotrogla (Psocodea: Prionoglarididae) from Brazilian caves. Females have a highly elaborate, penis-like structure, the gynosome, while males lack an intromittent organ. The gynosome has species-specific elaborations, such as numerous spines that fit species-specific pouches in the simple male genital chamber. During prolonged copulation (∼40–70 hr), a large and potentially nutritious ejaculate is transferred from the male via the gynosome. The correlated genital evolution in Neotrogla is probably driven by reversed sexual selection with females competing for seminal gifts. Nothing similar is known among sex-role reversed animals."
Excerpted from the abstract of an article at Current Biology, which has lots more detail (and additional graphic depictions).  It will be interesting to see if Blogspot takes this post one down or puts it behind a warning.

"Calendargate"

While most people were enjoying the holidays, extremely online conservatives were fighting about a pinup calendar.

Last month, Ultra Right Beer — a company founded as a conservative alternative to allegedly woke Bud Light — released a 2024 calendar titled “Conservative Dad’s Real Women of America 2024 Calendar.” The calendar contains photos of “the most beautiful conservative women in America” in various sexy poses. Some, like anti-trans swimmer Riley Gaines and writer Ashley St. Clair, are wearing revealing outfits; others, like former House candidate Kim Klacik, are fully clothed. No one is naked.

But this mild sexiness was just a bit too much for some prominent social conservatives, who started decrying the calendar in late December as (among other things) “demonic.” The basic complaint is that the calendar is pandering to married men’s sinful lust, debasing conservative women, and making conservatives seem like hypocrites when they complain about leftist immorality.

“This is the problem with conservatives who think they can act just like the secular world,” writes Jenna Ellis, one of Donald Trump’s attorneys during the 2020 election fight. “If conservatives aren’t morally grounded Christians, what are we even ‘conserving’?”

Other conservatives, led by several of the women who posed in the calendar, defended the calendar — decrying their critics as nosy puritans who exemplify the right’s inability to connect with ordinary people.

The fight between these factions, dubbed “Calendargate,” started on X but has exploded outward — becoming an inescapable topic on the right in the new year. Prominent right-wing media figures like Tim Pool and Megyn Kelly have weighed in; articles dissecting the controversy have appeared in National Review and the American Conservative.

On one level, this is all very stupid....
I'll stop excerpting from Vox there, because I agree with that last sentence and couldn't care less about a "conservative civil war."  If anyone wants to venture further down the rabbit hole they can follow the Vox link or Google the title word.  Embedded photo cropped for size from the original.
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