06 August 2026

Hormuz update Thursday


Most of the conventional media I monitor echo Trump's declarations.  The updates I respect the most come from Al Jazeera.  Here is this morning's detailed analysis.  I won't excerpt here, because those interested can go to the link, which is nicely segmented into these sections:
When will the agreement be announced?
Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen immediately once an agreement is announced?
Will an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz mean peace between the US and Iran? 
What do we know about each side’s positions?
What Iran wants
What the US wants
What Oman wants
Have Iran and the US made concessions?
What might each side get out of the deal?
Al Jazeera doesn't "know" what's going to happen any more than you or I do, because the outcome is in part dependent on the whims of unreliable people.  But this article is better than anything else I have found.

8 comments:

  1. @Stan
    Imagine the following scifi disaster movie
    Let climate change happen. Create middle east instability. Drive up Fossil fuel costs. Wait for arctic to melt for much shorter shipping routes. More profits.
    Unrealistically nefarious?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not unrealistic, but might require a third term of office.

      Delete
    2. @Stan. Even without that, reversing bills won't happen that fast. A part of me envies your generation

      Delete
  2. The US is wasting time and resources in overseas conflicts, National security should be built on domestic strength, specifically by securing our power grid and reducing global oil dependence. We have the technology, tools, solar, wind, advanced battery storage, nuclear power to make this happen.
    We have the wrong people in place to make this happen.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Just sitting here in the wake of the above comment. Sigh.
    Thank you for the link...very clear summary. Also sigh.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Shoutout to Al Jazeera. They are funded by the Qatari government, who are allies of the US and of other US allies like Turkey and Saudi Arabia, but their reporting doesn't seem to show US bias. They are strong on Israel's actions in Palestine, which also suggests they're not US-biased. They are also worth following for other areas like Russia and China where Western US/European media often has preconceptions.

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    Replies
    1. Also intermmittent in-depth analysis of events transpiring in Africa, which U.S. media almost never cover.

      Delete

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