16 April 2025

The Trump effect on the Canadian elections


(Note: in the Guardian graph embedded above, the liberals are in red, the conservatives in blue)

Justin Trudeau's liberal party was effectively "dead in the water" with a 20% public opinion poll favorable rating, impossibly behind the conservatives.  After Trump initiated his economic war on Canada, public opinion has shifted massively.  Trudeau stepped down, and the liberal party replaced him with Mark Carney, who has an ideal C.V. for managing economic turmoil:
He graduated with a bachelor's degree in economics from Harvard University in 1988, then studied at the University of Oxford, where he earned a master's degree in 1993 and a doctorate in 1995. He held various roles at Goldman Sachs before joining the Bank of Canada as a deputy governor in 2003. In 2004, he was named as senior associate deputy minister for the Department of Finance Canada. In 2007, Carney was named Governor of the Bank of Canada, where he was responsible for Canadian monetary policy during the 2008 financial crisis. He led the Canadian central bank until 2013, when he was appointed as Governor of the Bank of England, where he led the British central bank's response to Brexit and the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Canadian election is coming up in a couple weeks.  Carney will be doing battle with a man who has taken four (or six) companies into bankruptcy.

This was Carney's address to the people of Canada:


He did an interview with Jon Stewart three months ago.

Addendum: For those who  have not been following the details re recent Canadian politics (now on the eve of the election), Al Jazeera offers a concise but comprehensive account of the course of Canadian politics during this past year.

10 comments:

  1. I’m not sure why you commented on the colours the guardian used. Here in Canada the liberals have always been red and the conservatives Blue. The NDP adopted orange and the Green Party, well, green. 😀

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    1. I commented because here in the U.S., the standard representation has been red for conservatism and blue for liberals and Canada is the opposite. Since most readers of the blog are probably from the US I thought it best to clarify.

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  2. I've never been so proud to be Canadian as I am when Mark Carney speaks. Now we just have to get through a federal election in a couple of weeks to keep him in a leadership role. His opponent - a man with no experience outside politics - has been referred to as "Trump lite" in the media.

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    1. Agreed, however, the most proud I've been of any Canadian leader was when Terry Fox ran across Canada.

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  3. I hope I can post a Youtube link here with Carney being interviewed by our own Narduwar (the human serviette). Carney was game for Nard's fun and proved himself very capable and also...human.
    P.S. The name 'Carney" is not lost on us Canadians vis-a-vis the circus down south!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TZmh_PNMImE

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    1. He seems remarkably "human" compared to our guy.

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  4. Australia has an election coming up, and has seen a similar shift from a likely-conservative win to the other party being favourites.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Australian_federal_election

    (Note, that Australia's conservative party is weirdly called the Liberal party)

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    1. And I see that once again the assigned colors are red and blue (at least in the Wiki summary)

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    2. Red is associated with grass roots working people since the French Revolution, through Communism and everywhere in between. "We'll keep the red flag flying here" and so on.
      Didn't the Democratic and Republican parties basically flip policies at some point?

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  5. Well, at least someone is learning from our stupidity, even if we aren't.

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