09 July 2022

Introducing Karakalpakstan


I had never heard of it either.  An article in AlJazeera explains "Why the world should pay attention to unrest in Karakalpakstan."
Last week, rare protests in Uzbekistan’s autonomous Karakalpakstan region, which borders Kazakhstan in the country’s northwest, turned deadly. According to the government, 18 people died and 243 others were wounded as a result of clashes between security forces and protesters. More than 500 were detained... The unrest had broken out in response to proposed constitutional reforms which would see the vast region lose its autonomy and right to secede...

Last week’s violent crackdown on protesters in Karakalpakstan represents a watershed moment for Mirziyoyev’s political, economic, and geopolitical agenda. Its aftermath may therefore shape not only Karakalpakstan and Uzbekistan’s future but that of the strategically important wider region.

Uzbekistan is Central Asia’s breadbasket and home to some 35 million people – nearly as many as Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan combined. It is also where Russia, the West and China’s visions of Eurasia collide...

Uzbekistan is wary of increasing Russian influence... The spectre of Russian hostility could see Uzbekistan with little choice but to fall into what Raffaello Pantucci, senior associate fellow at RUSI, has dubbed “China’s inadvertent empire”. Beijing became Uzbekistan’s largest trade partner in 2016 and is by far its largest foreign investor...

The West has long been disengaged from the country, despite Uzbekistan’s open call for investment and collaboration under Mirzoyoyev’s rule... Mirziyoyev may not be a democrat, but he has – at least until very recently – proven to be someone the world, including the West, can do business with. His reaction to Karakalpakstan’s unrest will determine whether this came from conviction or convenience. How the world responds in turn will shape the balance of power at the heart of Eurasia. 
Here's the relevant Wikipedia page.  Interestingly, that little double blob of blue at the northern border is all that's left of the rapidly desiccating Aral Sea.  One wonders how much longer this region can continue to be a "breadbasket" and what implications that has for widespread unrest.

3 comments:

  1. It seems that these days, everyone wants to have and be their own 'whatever', rather than be part of a greater whole. I am surprised that your states have not started to secede from each other. We will soon be a world of city-states and villages rather than countries.

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  2. I lived in Uzbekistan for two years in the late 1990s as a Peace Corps volunteer. Although I am glad to see you drawing attention to the country, in my opinion unrest in Karakalpakstan will not affect international politics very much. The Karakalpak region is extremely remote, quite arid, and has a very low population density. The "breadbasket" part of Uzbekistan is at the opposite (eastern) end of the country. This is sort of like suggesting that civil unrest in the Navajo reservation might transform U.S. politics. The Andijon uprising of 2005 mentioned in the article was a much bigger deal, but was put down brutally, and was hardly noticed outside of those observing Central Asia closely.

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