24 March 2011

Big demographic changes in the latest census data

Excerpts from an article in the StarTribune:
The Census Bureau on Thursday released its first set of national-level findings from the 2010 count on race and migration... "These are big demographic changes," said Mark Mather, an associate vice president at the nonprofit Population Reference Bureau. "There is going to be some culture shock, especially in communities that haven't had high numbers of immigrants or minorities in the past."..

African-Americans in search of wider spaces increasingly left big cities such as Detroit, Chicago and New York for the suburbs, typically in the South. Both Michigan and Illinois had their first declines in the black population since statehood as many of their residents opted for warmer climes in the suburbs of places such as Atlanta, Dallas and Houston...

Multiracial Americans now make up 2.9 percent of the U.S. population, a steadily growing group... In all, racial and ethnic minorities made up about 90 percent of the total U.S. growth since 2000, part of a historic trend in which minorities are expected to become the majority by midcentury.

In about 10 states, the share of children who are minorities has already passed 50 percent, up from five states in 2000. They include Mississippi, Georgia, Maryland, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Texas, California, New Mexico and Hawaii.

Asians grew by 43 percent over the last decade. They were tied with Hispanics as the fastest growing demographic group. For the first time Asians also had a larger numeric gain than African-Americans, who remained the second largest minority group at 37.7 million...

Many of the states in the South and West that are picking up House seats are Republican leaning, such as Texas and Florida. But most of their growth is now being driven largely by Hispanics, who tend to vote Democratic, which could put those regions in play...

In large metropolitan regions, U.S. suburbs are becoming more politically competitive because of their fast growth and changing demographics, said Robert Lang, a demographer at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas. He noted that minorities are increasingly moving from cities to nearby suburbs, while more conservative whites living in far-flung suburbs known as exurbs were moving closer to cities due to a spike in gas prices and the housing bust.

4 comments:

  1. The descriptions of growth are okay, but these projections won't mean a thing in the 2010s, given that the 2000s was a "normal" decade, but with the bursting of the housing bubble. Where people are now will be where they are for some years to come, to a degree maybe never seen in American history. The glut of housing on the market and the difficulty of getting financing due to the banks' near lending freeze, mean that people are stuck where they are for a long time to come. The stagnancy may last even until 2020. So, whatever growth was seen in the 200s will not be seen in the 2010s. Foreclosures in recently fast-growing states like Nevada and Arizona throw a wild-card into the mix: Where will those people go? It is far too early to assess that.

    ReplyDelete
  2. ...sorry about that first sentence!

    Try these first two:

    The descriptions of growth are okay, but these projections won't mean a thing in the 2010s, given that the 2000s was a "normal" decade. But with the bursting of the housing bubble, where people are now will be where they are for some years to come, to a degree maybe never seen in American history.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The rise of the Hispanics in the SW states is going to be offset by Republican efforts to disenfranchise the Hispanics by gerrymandering. This was seen in South Texas after the 2000 census, when they created snake-like House districts in order to water down the Hispanic population by incorporating enough separate pieces of the mostly-Hispanic areas into separate Republican-dominated districts. This became a Federal lawsuit in the mid-2000s. Expect that Republican effort to be more widespread. The Republicans has no intention of giving up its long-held advantage in SW states, especially not to Hispanics. Yes, it is partly a racial thing, but also simply politics as usual.

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  4. "Multiracial Americans now make up 2.9 percent of the U.S. population"

    Umm, how about 2.9 percent that actually aknowledge and report it. Many people don't know they are multiracial, or just do not admit it.

    If I meet 100 random people, only 3 of them are mixed in some way? Come on...

    ReplyDelete

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